Modelling International Airport arrivals and processing is essentially a series of process steps (Immigration, salivation booths,...

The UK was in all sorts of bother on 6 January 2021. See here. However the UK's reproduction rate fell below 1.0 three days later on 9...

We have been in hiatus while establishing www.rakoscience.com and we last reported on 6 January 2021 on worsening data from the US and...

The UK Government has announced a third total lockdown as its daily case numbers surge to nearly 60,000 cases. The UK reproduction...

California's reproduction rate is falling to 1.0 and is on track and in 10-14 days we should see daily cases falling dramatically if the...

The UK recently announced a new, more infectious SARS-CoV-2 variant is spreading and they are instituting new social distancing measures...

The US has been through a mega second wave of COVID-19 through Fall and early Winter but our modeller shows that State lockdowns and...

The CloseAssociate modeller is showing that across Europe there is very little evidence that the spread of COVID-19 is being mitigated in...

Congratulations President-elect Joseph Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris on your election win and also for announcing a new COVID-19...

With three days to go to the US Presidential election, swing states still have growing COVID-19 reproduction rates.

The second wave of infection across European States is a lot worse than during the Northern Hemisphere spring and summer.

Today, 24 October (NZT) eleven days out from the US election on 3 November we can report that COVID-19 is continue to spread.

Across Europe the pandemic has clearly taken a step up in the last week and the situation is much worse than our 5 October blogpost.

The second wave of COVID-19 infection seems well underway in the United States with only four States with Reff rates below the redline.

There is a clear second wave building in both continents as we transition from autumn/fall and head into winter.

The longer the US persists above Reff=1.0 the more likely it will follow European States and the United Kingdom into a second wave.

Our analysis is this surge began nine weeks ago in mid-July 2020 and we called it mid-August.

The UK's Reff is currently at 1.7 - expect a 70% increase in new daily cases in 10-14 days.

We find that the Netherlands reproduction number for the disease has gone under that crucial redline R=1.0.

India's COVID-19 trajectory indicates an unrelenting path to eventual herd immunity.