USA - what a difference a month makes
We have been in hiatus while establishing www.rakoscience.com and we last reported on 6 January 2021 on worsening data from the US and...
UK and US reproduction rates worsen
The UK Government has announced a third total lockdown as its daily case numbers surge to nearly 60,000 cases. The UK reproduction...
US' COVID-19 reproduction rate falls below 1.0
The US has been through a mega second wave of COVID-19 through Fall and early Winter but our modeller shows that State lockdowns and...
And Europe has an even more daunting task
The CloseAssociate modeller is showing that across Europe there is very little evidence that the spread of COVID-19 is being mitigated in...
President-elect Biden has a big COVID-19 job
Congratulations President-elect Joseph Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris on your election win and also for announcing a new COVID-19...
Last US pre-election COVID-19 spread assessment
With three days to go to the US Presidential election, swing states still have growing COVID-19 reproduction rates.
Europe's second wave gets worse
The second wave of infection across European States is a lot worse than during the Northern Hemisphere spring and summer.
COVID-19 to increase right through US election
Today, 24 October (NZT) eleven days out from the US election on 3 November we can report that COVID-19 is continue to spread.
Europe in full grip of a second wave
Across Europe the pandemic has clearly taken a step up in the last week and the situation is much worse than our 5 October blogpost.
COVID-19 increasing in nearly every US State
The second wave of COVID-19 infection seems well underway in the United States with only four States with Reff rates below the redline.
Second waves in Europe and USA
There is a clear second wave building in both continents as we transition from autumn/fall and head into winter.
An early warning for the United States
The longer the US persists above Reff=1.0 the more likely it will follow European States and the United Kingdom into a second wave.
The UK is getting worse
Our analysis is this surge began nine weeks ago in mid-July 2020 and we called it mid-August.
UK's new restrictions are needed
The UK's Reff is currently at 1.7 - expect a 70% increase in new daily cases in 10-14 days.
Netherlands doing better than they say
We find that the Netherlands reproduction number for the disease has gone under that crucial redline R=1.0.
India's exponential increase
India's COVID-19 trajectory indicates an unrelenting path to eventual herd immunity.
Late summer upsurge on two continents
European Union nations and many US states are facing upsurges in COVID-19 which is a continuation of the trends...[we already identified]
Middle East mix
...a resurgence of COVID-19 reproduction rates with Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Israel, West Bank and UAE all reporting Reff rates above 1.0.
South Korea's super surge
The COVID19.modeller presents a South Korean super surge underway with a large increase in new daily cases expected...
Nordic variations
Norway and Finland have the highest Reff values but compared to Sweden they have relatively fewer new case numbers.