The longer the US persists above Reff=1.0 the more likely it will follow European States and the United Kingdom into a second wave.

Our analysis is this surge began nine weeks ago in mid-July 2020 and we called it mid-August.

The UK's Reff is currently at 1.7 - expect a 70% increase in new daily cases in 10-14 days.

We find that the Netherlands reproduction number for the disease has gone under that crucial redline R=1.0.

India's COVID-19 trajectory indicates an unrelenting path to eventual herd immunity.

European Union nations and many US states are facing upsurges in COVID-19 which is a continuation of the trends...[we already identified]

...a resurgence of COVID-19 reproduction rates with Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Israel, West Bank and UAE all reporting Reff rates above 1.0.

The COVID19.modeller presents a South Korean super surge underway with a large increase in new daily cases expected...

Norway and Finland have the highest Reff values but compared to Sweden they have relatively fewer new case numbers.

We promised an update on South Korea because its Reff is showing a remarkable and steep increase.

European countries have increasing COVID-19 reproduction (Reff) values above 1.0 and that has been true for some time.

The key takeaway from our closer look is that it's time to act before new daily cases increase and grow exponentially.

In my last blog post I noted that Northern California was performing worse than Southern California in terms of COVID19 reproduction numbers

Since 26 July 2020, and for nearly three weeks, the United States has suppressed COVID-19 below reproduction 1.0.

We have completed some research into how New Zealand and other countries can minimize the cost of COVID-19 to society. To do this we have...