Modelling International Airport arrivals and processing is essentially a series of process steps (Immigration, salivation booths,...

The COVID19.modeller presents a South Korean super surge underway with a large increase in new daily cases expected...

European countries have increasing COVID-19 reproduction (Reff) values above 1.0 and that has been true for some time.

The key takeaway from our closer look is that it's time to act before new daily cases increase and grow exponentially.

In my last blog post I noted that Northern California was performing worse than Southern California in terms of COVID19 reproduction numbers

We have developed a new process for estimating the effective reproduction number - Reff - for COVID-19. The process combines an analytic...

We have completed some research into how New Zealand and other countries can minimize the cost of COVID-19 to society. To do this we have...

SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) modelling is highly effective at predicting disease spreading through populations including COVID-19.