Leon GriceAug 23, 20201 minSouth Korea's super surge The COVID19.modeller presents a South Korean super surge underway with a large increase in new daily cases expected...
Leon GriceAug 19, 20203 minEurope's second wave? European countries have increasing COVID-19 reproduction (Reff) values above 1.0 and that has been true for some time.
Leon GriceAug 17, 20202 minNortheastern States - a closer look The key takeaway from our closer look is that it's time to act before new daily cases increase and grow exponentially.
Leon GriceAug 16, 20202 minWrestling with Reff in Northern CaliforniaIn my last blog post I noted that Northern California was performing worse than Southern California in terms of COVID19 reproduction numbers
Stephen GriceMay 21, 20203 minResults for new process for calculating the effective reproduction number from daily positive casesWe have developed a new process for estimating the effective reproduction number - Reff - for COVID-19. The process combines an analytic...
Stephen GriceMay 14, 20201 minThe Effect of Social distancing, Isolation and Digital Contact Tracing on COVID-19We have completed some research into how New Zealand and other countries can minimize the cost of COVID-19 to society. To do this we have...
Stephen GriceApr 26, 20201 minHelp - About the MathSIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) modelling is highly effective at predicting disease spreading through populations including COVID-19.
