The COVID19.modeller presents a South Korean super surge underway with a large increase in new daily cases expected...

Norway and Finland have the highest Reff values but compared to Sweden they have relatively fewer new case numbers.

We promised an update on South Korea because its Reff is showing a remarkable and steep increase.

European countries have increasing COVID-19 reproduction (Reff) values above 1.0 and that has been true for some time.

The key takeaway from our closer look is that it's time to act before new daily cases increase and grow exponentially.

In my last blog post I noted that Northern California was performing worse than Southern California in terms of COVID19 reproduction numbers

Since 26 July 2020, and for nearly three weeks, the United States has suppressed COVID-19 below reproduction 1.0.

We have developed a new process for estimating the effective reproduction number - Reff - for COVID-19. The process combines an analytic...

We have completed some research into how New Zealand and other countries can minimize the cost of COVID-19 to society. To do this we have...

The simulation tool allows business and government users to access shared input values.

There are many questions arise out of running simulations using the modelling tool. It is important to understand that it is a...

A modelling tool demonstrates what-if scenarios using New Zealand input variables and initial conditions. The results are presented....

Here is some interesting reading on Covid-19. What the US Federal Government and the States Should Do to Fight the Coronavirus It makes...

Modelling Covid19 tools