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  • Writer's pictureLeon Grice

Europe's second wave building

Updated: Aug 25, 2020

Six days ago we asked the question whether Europe was about to suffer a second wave of COVID-19 infection. Today most countries have higher worsening reproduction numbers and growing case numbers. The evidence is getting worse.

For convenience here is a comparison of where Reff was six days ago and where it is today. The highlighted yellow in the fourth column are the countries that have had Reff increase.


  • The zero case data for Spain on 23 August reflects a common weekly pattern of testing and this is a day when no testing is taking place or is reported.

  • Germany's lower case data on 23 August does not reflect an underlying trend.

  • Countries not covered in this blog with growing Reff include Belgium, Luxembourg, Austria, Slovakia and Portugal.

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