• Stephen Grice

Interesting Covid-19 links

Updated: Apr 16

Here is some interesting reading on Covid-19.


What the US Federal Government and the States Should Do to Fight the Coronavirus

It makes political and economic sense for the US to suppress the coronavirus. For that, states and the federal government each have their own roles that they need to adjust.


Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model 

There are certainly numbers out there. Trouble is, they’re kind of all over the place. For example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is using models that forecast a best-case scenario in which about 200,000 Americans die, according to reporting by The New York Times. Meanwhile, a report from Imperial College London that made headlines for its dire, modeling-based forecasts predicted about 2.2 million U.S. deaths from the coronavirus, if nobody changes their everyday behavior.


Suppression and Mitigation Strategies for control of Covid-19 in New Zealand

This is academic paper on SEIR models developed by Hendy et al; from Te Punaha Matatini. It is the mathematical basis used for the CloseAssociate modelling tool.


New Zealand Government Health Ministry Covid-19 Health statistics

Information about confirmed and probable cases of COVID-19 in New Zealand


Special report: The simulations driving the world’s response to COVID-19

Nature article on How epidemiologists rushed to model the coronavirus pandemic.






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