Interesting Covid-19 links
Updated: Apr 16
Here is some interesting reading on Covid-19.
It makes political and economic sense for the US to suppress the coronavirus. For that, states and the federal government each have their own roles that they need to adjust.
There are certainly numbers out there. Trouble is, they’re kind of all over the place. For example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is using models that forecast a best-case scenario in which about 200,000 Americans die, according to reporting by The New York Times. Meanwhile, a report from Imperial College London that made headlines for its dire, modeling-based forecasts predicted about 2.2 million U.S. deaths from the coronavirus, if nobody changes their everyday behavior.
This is academic paper on SEIR models developed by Hendy et al; from Te Punaha Matatini. It is the mathematical basis used for the CloseAssociate modelling tool.
Information about confirmed and probable cases of COVID-19 in New Zealand
Nature article on How epidemiologists rushed to model the coronavirus pandemic.