• Leon Grice

President-elect Biden has a big COVID-19 job

Congratulations President-elect Joseph Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris on your election win and also for announcing a new COVID-19 taskforce will meet on Monday. They have a big job ahead. Here is what the CloseAssociate modeller here predicts the near term trajectory of the pandemic across the United States. The modeller has Reff=1.3 and it has been steady around this reproduction rate for six weeks. A sustained period above Reff=1.0 gives time for the exponential growth rates that are typical of pandemics. You can see that ramp in the daily case data with 120,000+ new cases per day.


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