UK "R" value turned on 9 January
The UK was in all sorts of bother on 6 January 2021. See here. However the UK's reproduction rate fell below 1.0 three days later on 9 January, the same day as the United States. See here. The daily case numbers are currently around 14,000 and they can be expected to decline rapidly if the UK stays on its current course. In contrast, the Continent: France, Italy, Belgium and Spain, and the countries of central Europe and the Adriatic, have higher reproduction rates and can expect increasing cases in the next to weeks.